Simulating for a disaster is excess of making a simulation of a disaster state of affairs. To ensure that a simulation to be helpful throughout a disaster, it must be created inside the area of some days to permit resolution makers to make use of it as shortly as doable. Moreover, throughout a disaster the intention is to not optimize only one issue, however to steadiness varied, interdependent facets of life. Within the COVID-19 disaster, selections needed to be made regarding e.g. whether or not to shut colleges and eating places, and the (financial) penalties of a three or 4-week lock-down needed to be thought-about. As such, moderately than one simulation specializing in a really restricted facet, a framework permitting the simulation of a number of totally different eventualities specializing in totally different facets of the disaster was required. Furthermore, the outcomes of the simulations wanted to be simply comprehensible and explainable: if a simulation signifies that closing colleges has no impact, this may solely be used if the choice makers can clarify why that is the case. This e-book describes how a simulation framework was created for the COVID-19 disaster, and demonstrates the way it was used to simulate a variety of eventualities that have been related for resolution makers on the time. It additionally discusses the usefulness of the method, and explains the selections that needed to be made alongside the way in which in addition to the trade-offs. Lastly, the e-book examines the teachings discovered and the instructions for the additional improvement of social simulation frameworks to make them higher suited to disaster conditions, and to foster a extra resilient society.
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